OH 5269 · DCA → DTW

departs 8:52 PM ET · arrives 10:32 PM ET

Your aircraft is N514AE (CRJ7), coming in as OH 5085 from MCI: landed 7:27 PM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5269 · DCA → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?