Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SINGAPORE AIRLINES · FLIGHT SQ 11
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
SQ 11 · LAX → NRT
departs 2:20 PM PT · arrives 5:44 PM JST
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 10/7
Thu 10/8 20%
Sat 10/10 22%
Sun 10/11 24%
Mon 10/12 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at NRT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to NRT?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at NRT
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
NRT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.