Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SINGAPORE AIRLINES · FLIGHT SQ 11
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 8
SQ 11 · LAX → NRT
departs 2:04 PM PT · arrives 5:21 PM JST
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8
Sat 10/10 22%
Sun 10/11 24%
Mon 10/12 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at NRT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to NRT?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
NRT usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into NRT at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
NRT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.