tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4004 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 4004 · DCA → IAH

departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 4:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.