tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4031 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 4031 · IAH → DCA

departs 9:51 AM CT · arrives 2:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2.0d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.