Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 4054SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
YV 4054 · IAH → MEM
departs 4:37 PM CT · arrives 6:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.