tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 6286 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 6286 · IAH → ORF

departs 6:21 PM CT · arrives 10:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORF?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.