Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4972SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
9E 4972 · MSP → SDF
departs 9:01 AM CT · arrives 11:58 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
7%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.