tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5054 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

9E 5054 · LGA → ROC

departs 3:55 PM ET · arrives 5:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
12% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ROC?

  1. On time or early
    87%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.