Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5296SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
9E 5296 · BUF → JFK
departs 3:46 PM ET · arrives 5:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±5 pts+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.