AA 1619 · CLT → MCI

departs 8:14 AM ET · arrives 9:46 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1619 · CLT → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?