tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2963 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

AA 2963 · MBJ → MIA

departs 5:17 PM EST · arrives 8:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 162h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Thursday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
40% chance · ±13 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    56%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.