Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ETHIOPIAN · FLIGHT ET 3731 LANDED 10:08 AM PT, ~33 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, October 8 Yesterday

ET 3731 · LGG → LAX

took off 8:09 AM CEST · landed 10:08 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 20h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGG

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LGG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

ET 3731 · LGG → LAX

Odds over time