Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JAPAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT JL 69 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 8

JL 69 · LAX → KIX

departs 2:38 PM PT · arrives 6:45 PM JST

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at KIX more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KIX?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Arrivals into KIX at that hour are usually not late

↓ KIX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

KIX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JL 69 · LAX → KIX

Odds over time

How late will it get to KIX?