tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4325 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

MQ 4325 · MIA → MAR

departs 10:22 AM ET · arrives 1:39 PM -04
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 114h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Thursday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at MAR more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MAR?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.