Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PSA · FLIGHT OH 5457SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
OH 5457 · ROC → DCA
departs 5:44 PM ET · arrives 7:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 162h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Thursday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
24%chance · ±9 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.