Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4833
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 9 Tomorrow
OO 4833 · LWB → ORD
departs 4:26 PM ET · arrives 5:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/9
Sat 10/10 25%
Sun 10/11 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±7 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave LWB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at LWB that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LWB (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.