9E 4927 · GTR → ATL

departs 5:55 AM CT · arrives 8:10 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±10 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
14%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, 2.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at GTR that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

GTR (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.42 in

ATL (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4927 · GTR → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?