Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4927 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11

9E 4927 · GTR → ATL

departs 5:54 AM CT · arrives 8:10 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 333 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

GTR (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling333 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4927 · GTR → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?