Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1020 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 10

9K 1020 · SJU → EIS

departs 2:36 PM AT · arrives 3:54 PM AST

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at EIS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EIS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EIS

↓ EIS usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into EIS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.09 in

EIS (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1020 · SJU → EIS

Odds over time

How late will it get to EIS?