AV 2 · BAQ → MIA

took off · landed 11:50 AM ET (scheduled 7:50 AM -05 → 11:38 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Saturdays in October are usually busier than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BAQ

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BAQ (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AV 2 · BAQ → MIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to MIA?