9E 5046 · CLT → LGA

left the gate 3:57 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 2:34 PM ET → 4:22 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N293PQ (CRJ9), coming in as 9E 5046 from LGA: landed 2:46 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
25%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.93 in

LGA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5046 · CLT → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?