9E 5364 · ROC → LGA

departs 12:21 PM ET · arrives 1:43 PM ET

Your aircraft is N937XJ (CRJ9), coming in as 9E 5100 from DTW: landed 11:22 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ROC (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.22 in

LGA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.85 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5364 · ROC → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?