Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1145 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Tomorrow

AA 1145 · MIA → CTG

departs 11:05 AM ET · arrives 12:54 PM -05

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at CTG more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CTG?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CTG

↓ Arrivals into CTG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

CTG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1145 · MIA → CTG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CTG?