AA 1462 · CLT → JAX

departs 11:21 AM ET · arrives 12:46 PM ET

Your aircraft is N111US (A320), coming in as AA 987 from CMH: landed 9:52 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JAX?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at JAX that day

↓ Arrivals into JAX at that hour are usually not late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.93 in

JAX (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1462 · CLT → JAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAX?