AA 1693 · MCO → MIA

departs 8:53 AM ET · arrives 10:05 AM ET

Your aircraft is N414AL (A21N), coming in as AA 1693 from MIA: landed 7:38 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 8am departures from MCO are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

MIA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.87 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1693 · MCO → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?