AA 2115 · LAX → CLT

took off 1:09 AM PT · landed 8:44 AM ET (scheduled 12:04 AM PT → 7:49 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

CLT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.93 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2115 · LAX → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?