AA 2215 · MIA → CCS

departs 10:21 AM ET · arrives 1:53 PM -04

Your aircraft is N848NN (B738), coming in as AA 1604 from SAT: landed 8:40 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CCS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CCS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Arrivals into CCS at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.85 in

CCS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2215 · MIA → CCS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CCS?