Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2268 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 3:36 PM ET (47 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Sunday, October 11 Today

AA 2268 · LGA → CLT

departs 2:38 PM ET · arrives 4:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

85% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.91 in

CLT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.93 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2268 · LGA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?