Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2580 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Tomorrow

AA 2580 · MIA → ANU

departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 1:20 PM AST

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at ANU more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANU?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into ANU at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

ANU (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2580 · MIA → ANU

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANU?