Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2681 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

AA 2681 · PUJ → CLT

departs 11:44 AM AST · arrives 3:26 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PUJ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

CLT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.95 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2681 · PUJ → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?