AA 3054 · DFW → AUS

departs 9:22 AM CT · arrives 10:29 AM CT

Your aircraft is N862NN (B738), coming in as AA 2612 from DEN: landed 7:51 AM CT.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3054 · DFW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?