AA 3318 · MIA → LAS

departs 9:56 AM ET · arrives 12:11 PM PT

Your aircraft is N316VD (B38M), coming in as AA 1178 from DCA: landed 8:27 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.85 in

LAS (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3318 · MIA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?