AA 345 · MIA → SAL

departs 10:45 AM ET · arrives 11:29 AM CST

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAL?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Arrivals into SAL at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.87 in

SAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 345 · MIA → SAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAL?