Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 501 SCHEDULED
Today

AA 501 · PHX → MEX

departs 10:21 AM MT · arrives 2:44 PM CST
Your aircraft is N313UR (B38M), coming in as AA 628 from SNA: landed 9:09 AM MT.
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
52% chance · ±0 pts +25 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MEX?

  1. On time or early
    46%
  2. 15–30 min late
    25%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    15%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.