Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 501SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 501 · PHX → MEX
departs 10:22 AM MT · arrives 2:45 PM CST
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±1 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MEX?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.