AA 611 · CLT → PLS

took off 9:43 AM ET · landed 12:15 PM EDT (scheduled 9:37 AM ET → 12:46 PM EDT)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PLS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PLS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PLS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.93 in

PLS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 611 · CLT → PLS

Odds over time

How late did it get to PLS?