AA 785 · MUC → CLT

took off 10:08 AM CEST · expected to land 2:23 PM ET (scheduled 9:23 AM CEST → 1:14 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
98%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MUC

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MUC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.79 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 785 · MUC → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?