AA 939 · MIA → SAP

took off 12:17 PM ET · expected to land 12:09 PM CST (scheduled 12:21 PM ET → 12:57 PM CST)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAP more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAP?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into SAP at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAP

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.84 in

SAP (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 939 · MIA → SAP

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAP?