Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 1213 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Today

AC 1213 · MIA → YYZ

departs 1:15 PM ET · arrives 4:33 PM EDT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 1pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at YYZ that day

↓ YYZ usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into YYZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.84 in

YYZ (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 1213 · MIA → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?