AC 731 · LGA → YUL

departs 10:35 AM ET · arrives 12:25 PM EDT

Your aircraft is CFDUW (BCS3), coming in as ACA728 from YUL: still at YUL, 79 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YUL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YUL

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.93 in

YUL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 731 · LGA → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?