Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 127 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AV 127 · MIA → BOG

departs 2:08 PM ET · arrives 4:41 PM -05
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
27% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.8d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOG?

  1. On time or early
    73%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.