AV 21 · JFK → BOG

took off 8:07 AM ET · landed 12:36 PM -05 (scheduled 7:44 AM ET → 12:30 PM -05)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BOG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BOG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling780 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.24 in

BOG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AV 21 · JFK → BOG

Odds over time

How late did it get to BOG?