tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 4913 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AV 4913 · MLB → MIA

departs 3:50 PM ET · arrives 4:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 5.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    64%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    11%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.