C5 4917 · IAH → MFE

departs 9:59 AM CT · arrives 11:27 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MFE?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Arrivals into MFE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MFE (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4917 · IAH → MFE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MFE?