DL 1042 · MSP → AUS

departs 2:20 PM CT · arrives 5:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at MSP that day

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1042 · MSP → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?