DL 1827 · ORD → LGA

departs 5:56 PM CT · arrives 9:09 PM ET

Your aircraft is N320DU (BCS3), coming in as DL 2226 from LGA: landed 4:01 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
4%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
35%
Over 2 hours late
34%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1827 · ORD → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?