DL 2347 · MIA → LGA

took off 11:44 AM ET · expected to land 2:08 PM ET (scheduled 11:26 AM ET → 2:15 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

LIVE

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.84 in

LGA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.91 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2347 · MIA → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?