EK 213 · MIA → BOG

took off 1:02 PM ET · expected to land 3:01 PM -05 (scheduled 12:46 PM ET → 3:23 PM -05)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOG?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into BOG at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOG

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.84 in

BOG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EK 213 · MIA → BOG

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOG?