LH 428 · MUC → CLT

took off 1:21 PM CEST (scheduled 1:05 PM CEST → 5:51 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MUC

↓ LH's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

MUC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.77 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LH 428 · MUC → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?